
Resolved Yes on 2 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 87%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 26 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 26 Jun 2026 to 2 Jul 2026, the highest close was 87% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 26 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 87% on 2 Jul 2026. $55 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 14, 3:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 26 Jun 2026 – 2 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 87.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in July 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-spy-hit-in-july-2026
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