Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 46%. Yes opened at 53% on 14 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 14 Jun 2026 to 15 Jun 2026, the highest close was 53% on 14 Jun 2026 and the lowest 46% on 15 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 46% on 15 Jun 2026. $1.48K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 2:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 14 Jun 2026 – 15 Jun 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | 53.0% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 46.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Violet Ledger 39FC | No | 625 |
| baummark2 | No | 150 |
| Lavincey | No | 100 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of June 15 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-june-15-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Grandiose-Layer | No | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 10 |
