Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 81.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Jul 2026 to 6 Jul 2026, the highest close was 81.5% on 6 Jul 2026 and the lowest 50% on 4 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 81.5% on 6 Jul 2026. $972.02 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 7, 2:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Jul 2026 – 6 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Jul 2026 | 81.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Grandiose-Layer | No | 5 |
| Weepy-Item | No | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 4.99 |
| momomo12 | No | 1.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of July 6 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-july-6-2026
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