Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 78%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 31 Jul 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 65% on 27 Jul 2026 and the lowest 13% on 30 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 40.5% on 28 Jul 2026. $4.49K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 31 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 22.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Weepy-Item | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of July 27 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-july-27-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| WMNB | Yes | 5 |
| 196874353278 | Yes | 5 |
| Golden Orbit 4F35 | Yes | 0.02 |
