Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 82.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 16 May 2026 to 22 May 2026, the highest close was 82.5% on 22 May 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 20 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 50 points up, to 82.5% on 22 May 2026. $46.01K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 23, 2:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 16 May 2026 – 22 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 22 May 2026 | 82.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| capib | No | 279 |
| Lavincey | No | 120 |
| Yourstrulyy | No | 100 |
| Glass-Transit-Airship | No | 70.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of May 18 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-may-18-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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