Analytics
Resolved Yes on 3 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 50%. Yes opened at 74% on 1 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 74% on 1 Aug 2026 and the low 50% on 3 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 53% on 2 Aug 2026. $19.99 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 4, 8:55 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 3 points · 1 Aug 2026 – 3 Aug 2026 · axis zoomed to 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 74.0% |
| 3 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| bjprolo | No | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Weepy-Item | No | 4.99 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of August 3 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-august-3-2026
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