Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 75.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 26 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 75.5% on 1 Jul 2026 and the low 48% on 28 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 74% on 30 Jun 2026. $209.09 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 14, 3:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 26 Jun 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 75.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 09F911029D74 | No | 200 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in July 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-spy-hit-in-july-2026
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