
Resolved Yes on 11 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 80.5%. Yes opened at 81% on 10 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 May 2026 to 11 May 2026, the highest close was 81% on 10 May 2026 and the lowest 80.5% on 11 May 2026. $5.61K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 12, 4:00 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 May 2026 – 11 May 2026, chart shows 74%–86%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | 81.0% |
| 11 May 2026 | 80.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TinyMiny | No | 128.57 |
| Lavincey | No | 57.99 |
| Grandiose-Layer | No | 5 |
| bjprolo | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of May 11 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-may-11-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |