Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 58%. Yes opened at 53% on 2 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 73.5% on 3 May 2026 and the low 53% on 2 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 73.5% on 3 May 2026. $13.66K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 6, 8:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 2 May 2026 – 5 May 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | 53.0% |
| 5 May 2026 | 58.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| momomo12 | No | 2K |
| Fanfarria | No | 80 |
| Oklmntrader | No | 73.73 |
| mouse0325 | No | 47.62 |
| bjprolo | No | 30 |
| Colala | No | 29.96 |
| Lunar Ledger 8803 | No | 6.67 |
| megacity | No | 5.88 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of May 4 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-may-4-2026
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