Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 53.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2026 to 7 Apr 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 53.5% on 7 Apr 2026 and the lowest 40% on 27 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 10 points down, to 40% on 27 Mar 2026. $125 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 9, 9:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 7 Apr 2026, chart shows 35%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 7 Apr 2026 | 53.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| daspacecannon | No | 100 |
| hesure | No | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit in April 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-spy-hit-in-april-2026
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