Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 85%. Yes opened at 50% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2026 to 8 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 85% on 8 Apr 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 31 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 82.5% on 7 Apr 2026. $124.7 traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 9, 2:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 8 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 8 Apr 2026 | 85.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| hesure | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit in April 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-spy-hit-in-april-2026
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