Analytics
Resolved Yes on 13 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 76.5%. Yes opened at 54.5% on 11 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 13 Jul 2026, the highest close was 76.5% on 13 Jul 2026 and the lowest 54.5% on 11 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 76.5% on 13 Jul 2026. $1.27K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 14, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 13 Jul 2026, chart shows 50%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Jul 2026 | 54.5% |
| 13 Jul 2026 | 76.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 196874353278 | No | 134 |
| TENETENET | No | 100 |
| PippiTrader | No | 82 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of July 13 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-july-13-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| triklozoid | No | 15 |
| bjprolo | No | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Weepy-Item | No | 5 |
