Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 4 Jul 2026 to 10 Jul 2026, the highest close was 54% on 5 Jul 2026 and the lowest 1% on 10 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 21% on 7 Jul 2026. $6.47K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 5:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 4 Jul 2026 – 10 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Cape-Town | Yes | 105.26 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| momomo12 | Yes | 100 |
| Lunar Beacon 2421 | Yes | 66.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of July 6 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-july-6-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| 1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659 | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| PippiTrader | Yes | 4.42 |
| PPMT | Yes | 1.54 |
