Analytics
Resolved No on 15 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 10 May 2026 and the low 4% on 15 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 9% on 14 May 2026. $19.81K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 8:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 6 points · 10 May 2026 – 15 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| trade333 | Yes | 473.11 |
| stelthwealth | Yes | 169.23 |
| ValerieAnd19856 | Yes | 169.23 |
| jacinabox | Yes | 131.28 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Ramac | Yes | 88.89 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Colala | Yes | 44.96 |
| etay333 | Yes | 12.5 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of May 11 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-may-11-2026
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