Analytics
Resolved Yes on 29 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 52%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 57% on 26 Jul 2026 and the low 32% on 27 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 32% on 27 Jul 2026. $4.98K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 30, 8:08 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 28 Jul 2026, chart shows 20%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Jul 2026 | 52.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TrashGirl | No | 271 |
| PippiTrader | No | 268.43 |
| Suburban-Ecliptic | No | 64 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| horizonfushion | No | 15.9 |
| RustyScissors | No | 14.89 |
| bjprolo | No | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Weepy-Item | No | 5 |
| temawm | No | 3.11 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of July 27 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-july-27-2026
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