Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 4 Jul 2026 and the low 0.5% on 10 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 29% on 5 Jul 2026. $5.09K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 5:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 4 Jul 2026 – 10 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 90.01 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| 196874353278 | Yes | 25 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of July 6 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-july-6-2026
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