Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97.8%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 25 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 25 Jul 2026 to 31 Jul 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50.5% on 25 Jul 2026 and the lowest 2.2% on 31 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 2.2% on 31 Jul 2026. $6.69K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 5:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 25 Jul 2026 – 31 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jul 2026 | 50.5% |
| 31 Jul 2026 | 2.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 196874353278 | Yes | 198.65 |
| SmartBoyBilly | Yes | 20.1 |
| Fancy-Shawl | Yes | 7.36 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of July 27 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-july-27-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Weepy-Item | Yes | 5 |
| WMNB | Yes | 5 |
| Anony777 | Yes | 0.64 |
| Solar Signal F3B1 | Yes | 0.01 |
