Analytics
Resolved No on 15 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 20% on 10 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 10 May 2026 to 15 May 2026, the highest close was 50% on 11 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 15 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 3.5% on 12 May 2026. $6.75K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 5:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 10 May 2026 – 15 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | 20.0% |
| 15 May 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 54.99 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Sudden-Efficiency | Yes | 47 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of May 11 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-may-11-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| kr1763 | No | 10.04 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |
| wwder | Yes | 5 |
| VonVins | Yes | 5 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 4.99 |
