Analytics
Resolved No on 8 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 50% on 2 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 2 May 2026 and the low 0.4% on 8 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 10.5% on 5 May 2026. $3.33K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 9, 10:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 7 points · 2 May 2026 – 8 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 8 May 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 46 |
| PPMT | Yes | 30 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of May 4 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-may-4-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
