Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.1%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 25 Apr 2026 and the low 1.9% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 46 points down, to 4% on 28 Apr 2026. $1.37K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 7:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 25 Apr 2026 – 1 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 1 May 2026 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alvaro25011 | Yes | 150 |
| 0xJasonSan | Yes | 52.41 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 30 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 10 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |
| wwder | Yes | 5 |
| Weepy-Item | Yes | 5 |
| Golden Horizon 54D0 | Yes | 5 |
| Keen Falcon D40C | No | 0.23 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of April 27 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-april-27-2026
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