Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 51%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 4 Apr 2026 to 9 Apr 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 4 Apr 2026 and the lowest 14% on 7 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 14% on 7 Apr 2026. $1.36K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 12, 12:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 4 Apr 2026 – 9 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 49.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| xinglianzhui | Yes | 146.65 |
| jingpianchi | Yes | 82.96 |
| Utter-Downgrade | Yes | 15 |
| Shark91 | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of April 6 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-april-6-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 0.08 |
