Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 50% on 4 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 4 Apr 2026 to 11 Apr 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 4 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 11 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 0.7% on 10 Apr 2026. $424.83 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 12, 12:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 4 Apr 2026 – 11 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 Apr 2026 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pakantui | Yes | 82.51 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 15 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of April 6 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-april-6-2026
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