Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 26 Mar 2026 to 30 Apr 2026 (21 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 69.5% on 28 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 26 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 69.5% on 28 Mar 2026. $6.65K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 8:11 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 30 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 50.5% |
| 30 Apr 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MKIsabella | Yes | 999.39 |
| trader8472 | Yes | 480.08 |
| ra5tadark | Yes | 75 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 67.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit in April 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-spy-hit-in-april-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Keen Falcon D40C | Yes | 56.12 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 44.51 |
| TooYoungToWin | Yes | 33.89 |
| Neat-Robot | Yes | 30 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 30 |
| wwder | Yes | 5 |
