
Resolved No on 4 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 64.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 28 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2026 to 2 Apr 2026, the highest close was 50% on 28 Mar 2026 and the lowest 35.2% on 2 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 35.2% on 2 Apr 2026. $483.11 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 4, 7:58 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 28 Mar 2026 – 2 Apr 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2026 | 50.0% |
| 2 Apr 2026 | 35.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Prize-Motorboat | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Will SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) hit Week of March 30 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spy-hit-week-of-march-30-2026
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