Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.2%. Yes opened at 4% on 14 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 14 Jan 2026 to 11 Feb 2026, the highest close was 10.2% on 29 Jan 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 23 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.9 points up, to 9.6% on 27 Jan 2026. $3.45K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 12, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 14 Jan 2026 – 11 Feb 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jan 2026 | 4.0% |
| 11 Feb 2026 | 3.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.89K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 803.38 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 318 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Spotify is expected to release the earnings report for Q4 2025 on February 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the "Total Monthly Active Users" figure as reported by Spotify in the Q4 2025 earnings report. The relevant data can be found in the shareholder slide deck. If the reported value falls exactly between brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the relevant figure or the earnings report is not released by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the data from the most recently released report.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-monthly-active-users-will-spotify-report-2025-q4
| Yes |
| 194 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 182 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 132 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 105 |
| Empty-Slime | Yes | 82.26 |
| Hefty-Sky | Yes | 45.79 |
| k1tten | Yes | 30 |
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