Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 13, 2026?

Resolved

No, settled Sep 15, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$13.7K

Resolved

Settled

Sep 15, 2026 UTC

Topic roomMovies, TV and music

Where it stands

Resolved No on 15 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.1%. Yes opened at 55% on 9 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 9 Sep 2026 to 15 Sep 2026, the highest close was 55% on 9 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.9% on 15 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 2% on 12 Sep 2026. $13.67K traded over the market's life.

13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 9 Sep 2026 – 15 Sep 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
9 Sep 2026	55.0%
15 Sep 2026	0.9%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
chessplayer	Yes	1.02K
GuyFromTinder	Yes	214.58
ttsnail0100	Yes	110
Jackel09	Yes	77.16

10 of 13 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if "Spider-Man: Brand New Day"'s domestic box office gross officially surpasses "Star Wars: The Force Awakens"'s domestic box office gross of $936,662,225 by the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values through the specified date are final (i.e., not studio estimates). If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.