Analytics
Yes is at 13%, down 37 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 1 Aug 2026.
Across the 88 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 1 Aug 2026 and the lowest 11.5% on 10 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 12%; a month before, 14%. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 19% on 2 Aug 2026.
Spider-Man: Brand New Day ranks third of the 22 outcomes in “#1 Searched Movie on Google 2026?”. Obsession leads at 44%; The Odyssey is at 38%.
$2.59K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $61.67K since listing. The order book holds $12.54K, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 418 trades, $3.11K bought Yes and $14.54K bought No; the largest was a $6.86K buy of No at 82.8¢.
The largest Yes position is SnapElectionAvoider with 11K shares; the largest No position is AllByMyseIf with 9.9K. Ten wallets hold 87% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 88 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 49.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 13.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SnapElectionAvoider | Yes | 10.98K |
| AllByMyseIf | No | 9.86K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.64K |
This market will resolve according to the movie ranked #1 in Google’s official Year in Search Global “Movies” list for 2026. The specified list is expected to be displayed on the Google Trends Year in Search hub, with location selected to Global. The navigation procedure as of market creation involves going to trends.withgoogle.com/year-in-search/ and clicking through Global → Entertainment → Movies. The 2026 page is expected to appear using the same navigation once released (as the 2025 page currently shows the specified ranking). This market will resolve based on the specified list regardless of navigation procedure. A search term that clearly refers to a term listed in this market (for example, abbreviations, alternate spellings, or closely related phrasing) will count toward the term as listed in this market. If a search term clearly refers to multiple terms listed in this market, this market will resolve according to the term that comes first alphabetically as listed in this market. This market may resolve as soon as the specified list for 2026 is released. If Google does not release the specified list by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the specified list as published by Google.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/1-searched-movie-on-google-2026-20260730181459
10 more outcomes, none above 0.1%.
| Spiffy-Win | Yes | 1K |
| Hyperlong | No | 803.58 |
| coockroach1 | Yes | 600 |
| Anjun | Yes | 555 |
| VVKhqdMdKjEpLsDRwu | Yes | 552.53 |
| Red781RuM | No | 500 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 464.91 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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