Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 45% on 23 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 23 Aug 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 45% on 23 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 9.5% on 25 Aug 2024. $15.62K traded over the market's life.
46 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 9:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 23 Aug 2024 – 1 Oct 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2024 | 45.0% |
| 1 Oct 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Expensive-Match | Yes | 30.89 |
| 12923188231312321312xaxaz312321 | No | 15 |
| testorrrr-testing-mc-testfacey | Yes | 14.98 |
| Ggez-945 | Yes | 0.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if YouTuber "IShowSpeed" (Darren Watkins Jr.) publicly participates in a live stream with soccer player Cristiano Ronaldo on any platform between August 21, and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The stream must be accessible to the public, and Ronaldo must be be visibly present in the stream - video calls in which Ronaldo is seen by viewers will qualify, however audio phone calls will not count. The resolution source will be video of the stream.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-speed-stream-with-ronaldo-before-october
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