Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 30 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 51%. Yes opened at 77% on 26 Jun 2026. Before it settled, the high was 78.5% on 28 Jun 2026 and the low 49% on 29 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 49% on 29 Jun 2026. $936.58 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 5:57 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 26 Jun 2026 – 30 Jun 2026, chart shows 40%–90%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2026 | 77.0% |
| 30 Jun 2026 | 49.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RadioFreeZerg | Yes | 50 |
| hesure | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
| Quiet Kestrel 34B8 | Yes | 2.07 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by IShowSpeed during his livestream of the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the events of the stream, beginning from the moment the game timer first appears on screen and ending when the stream concludes. Any commentary made before the game timer appears on screen will not be considered. If no game timer appears, all markets will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, only remarks made by IShowSpeed himself will count toward resolution. Remarks made by guests, co-streamers, viewers, players, coaches, commentators, or any other individuals will not count toward resolution. If the IShowSpeed Colombia vs Portugal stream is definitively cancelled, postponed, or otherwise does not air by June 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". If the stream is interrupted, abbreviated, or only partially aired, this market will resolve according to what has occurred up to that point. The resolution source for this market is the official IShowSpeed livestream of the Colombia vs Portugal FIFA World Cup game on his YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@IShowSpeed). Only remarks made live during the stream will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AArzmPPcEek
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-speed-say-during-his-colombia-vs-portugal-world-cup-stream-20260625191836390
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