Analytics
Yes is at 81.5%, up 32 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 10 Sep 2026.
Across the 45 daily closes on record from 10 Sep 2026 to 24 Oct 2026, the highest close was 85% on 7 Oct 2026 and the lowest 18% on 13 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 84%; a month before, 58.5%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 55% on 14 Sep 2026.
Spain is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “UEFA Nations League 2026-27: Group A3 Winner”, ahead of England at 15%.
$22.48 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.35K since listing. The order book holds $10.88K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 151 trades, $2.77K bought Yes and $333.23 bought No.
The largest Yes position is MaciBetting23 with 932 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 918. Ten wallets hold 87.7% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Dec 2026, 39 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 24, 9:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 45 points, 10 Sep 2026 – 24 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Sep 2026 | 49.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 81.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| MaciBetting23 | Yes | 931.88 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 918.37 |
| Luminous-Burn | No | 850.29 |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group A3 at the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League. If the 2026-27 UEFA Nations League is cancelled, postponed after December 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from UEFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uefa-nations-league-2026-27-group-a3-winner
| ndb1 | Yes | 760.5 |
| StudyPrediction | Yes | 651.27 |
| funplayer- | No | 500 |
| extractive-manatee | No | 408.32 |
| BeanieSeagull | Yes | 373 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 224.11 |
| Dr.PNL | No | 219.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
