Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Dec 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.9%. Yes opened at 71.5% on 17 Sep 2025. Before it settled, the high was 84.5% on 24 Oct 2025 and the low 4.1% on 15 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 29 points down, to 5.5% on 5 Dec 2025. $56.61K traded over the market's life.
50 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Dec 17, 12:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 90 points, 17 Sep 2025 – 15 Dec 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Sep 2025 | 71.5% |
| 15 Dec 2025 | 4.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AdrianStier | Yes | 1K |
| zonh | Yes | 1K |
| Gausslois | Yes | 941.77 |
| GooseDuckSwan | Yes | 700 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
The final list of participating countries for Eurovision 2026 is expected to be officially published by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) in mid-to-late December 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country is included in the earliest official list of participants for the Eurovision Song Contest 2026, as announced by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) or Eurovision by May 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will solely resolve based on the countries mentioned in the first official announcement; subsequent withdrawals or adjustments will not affect the resolution of this market. If no qualifying list is published by May 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) and Eurovision (e.g., https://eurovision.tv); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/eurovision-2026-participants
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 637 |
| gentel | Yes | 540 |
| vini53 | Yes | 443.54 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 328 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 316 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 291 |
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