Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 14 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 14 Jul 2026 to 20 Jul 2026, the highest close was 43% on 15 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. $20.85K traded over the market's life.
26 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 10:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 14 Jul 2026 – 20 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Jul 2026 | 20.5% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.3K |
| balthazar | Yes | 1.91K |
| Garbador23 | Yes | 499.99 |
| everymarket | Yes | 452.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country finishes 2nd place (runner-up) in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by FIFA as finishing in second place. If multiple teams are officially awarded second place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed country to finish 2nd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup (e.g. they are eliminated from the tournament), the market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2nd, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 2nd place team declared (e.g. no third-place match is played), this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-2nd-place-finish-20260713185633181
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 273.34 |
| Coral Maven E67A | Yes | 150.88 |
| JuanDiMabili | Yes | 113.64 |
| Sociable-Gum | Yes | 107.14 |
| omoi0i0 | Yes | 71.25 |
| thepolwinner | Yes | 70.39 |
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