Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 6 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 35 daily closes on record from 6 Jun 2026 to 10 Jul 2026, the highest close was 49% on 6 Jun 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 16 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 34 points down, to 15% on 7 Jun 2026. $66.08K traded over the market's life.
69 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 11, 10:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 35 points, 6 Jun 2026 – 10 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jun 2026 | 49.0% |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.06K |
| Emerald Oracle FCCA | Yes | 10K |
| Jade Quasar B501 | Yes | 3.64K |
| balthazar | Yes | 3.01K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Spain is eliminated. If Spain wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Spain is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Spain based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.fifa.com/en/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-spain-stage-of-elimination
| Gleaming-Pear | Yes | 2.51K |
| norealtime | Yes | 1K |
| Ian6902- | Yes | 750 |
| Overflow0 | Yes | 599.99 |
| carpe-noctem | Yes | 500.38 |
| guguaka | Yes | 402.59 |
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