Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92%. Yes opened at 73% on 8 Apr 2023. Before it settled, across the 82 daily closes on record from 8 Apr 2023 to 1 Jul 2023 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 89% on 10 Apr 2023 and the lowest 0.5% on 17 May 2023. Its largest one-day move was 73 points down, to 3.5% on 21 Apr 2023. $8.23K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 24, 8:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 82 points, 8 Apr 2023 – 1 Jul 2023
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Apr 2023 | 73.0% |
| 1 Jul 2023 | 8.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Coral Sphinx 99B8 | Yes | 12.83K |
| Starry-Track | Yes | 100 |
| Jade Atlas 64FA | Yes | 15.07 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market group on SpaceX's starship reaching outer space.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spacexs-starship-reach-outer-space-by
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