Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 22% on 10 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 21 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2026 to 30 Jun 2026, the highest close was 22% on 10 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 5.5% on 11 Jun 2026. $164.79K traded over the market's life.
114 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 12:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 21 points, 10 Jun 2026 – 30 Jun 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 22.0% |
| 30 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 106.77K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 5.84K |
| BettingQuant | Yes | 4.26K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its Initial Public Offering (IPO). The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by SpaceX to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the last trading day of the calendar month in which SpaceX completes its IPO.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-closing-market-cap-end-of-ipo-month-20260606222757973
| Yes |
| 4.01K |
| roadto0pnl | Yes | 4K |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 3.52K |
| Guilty-Western | Yes | 2.84K |
| BornAgain26 | Yes | 2.8K |
| balthazar | Yes | 2.41K |
| Coral Lynx 432F | Yes | 1.95K |
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