Analytics
Resolved No on 15 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.9%. Yes opened at 13% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 37.5% on 10 May 2026 and the low 0.1% on 13 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points up, to 32% on 18 May 2026. $29.08K traded over the market's life.
61 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 16, 1:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 63 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 15 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 13.0% |
| 15 Jun 2026 | 1.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 16.16K |
| ZhangMuZhisDaddy | Yes | 3.7K |
| Imaginary-Plier | Yes | 1.42K |
| Ru386 | Yes | 1.28K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of SpaceX at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If SpaceX does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-spacexs-ipo-valuation-be
| unitedstatesleader | Yes | 1.24K |
| 99centrug | Yes | 1.13K |
| Shall69 | Yes | 629.22 |
| AnnabelleNoir | Yes | 499.98 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 496.76 |
| gosens | Yes | 450 |
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