Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 2.9% on 10 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 47 daily closes on record from 10 Feb 2026 to 28 Mar 2026, the highest close was 15.3% on 28 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 27 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 2.1% on 1 Mar 2026. $51.01K traded over the market's life.
42 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 47 points, 10 Feb 2026 – 28 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2026 | 2.9% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 16.06K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 1.36K |
| e46m3 | Yes | 1.08K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in 2026 in which SpaceX’s initial public offering (IPO) occurs. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/in-which-month-will-spacex-ipo
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| Yes |
| 1K |
| Scornful-Conductor | Yes | 619.53 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 352.37 |
| products | Yes | 309.61 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 300 |
| StillGotTheBlues | Yes | 167 |
| JustBot | Yes | 166 |
