Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 92.5%. Yes opened at 9% on 10 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2026 to 12 Jun 2026, the highest close was 9% on 10 Jun 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 11 Jun 2026. $17.08K traded over the market's life.
36 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 13, 10:45 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 10 Jun 2026 – 12 Jun 2026, chart shows 2%–14%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 9.0% |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 7.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Royal Pulse 1CB7 | Yes | 2.77K |
| Uncommon-Molasses | Yes | 1.04K |
| Biodegradable-Ownership | Yes | 1.01K |
| Plunder | Yes | 625 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if SpaceX's official “High” price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to 50-50. The “High” share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), this market will resolve according to the official “High” price of the abbreviated session. If no such official “High” price is published for the first day of trading, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official “High” price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-first-day-share-price-hits-20260608191407523
| cjbrauns | Yes | 254 |
| chancethebettor | Yes | 250 |
| acool13 | Yes | 222.22 |
| High-Level-Bran | Yes | 200 |
| avrahta | Yes | 164.9 |
| 19Amn | Yes | 125 |
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