Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 75.5%. Yes opened at 30% on 10 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2026 to 12 Jun 2026, the highest close was 30% on 10 Jun 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 12 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 24.5% on 12 Jun 2026. $100.56K traded over the market's life.
115 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 13, 10:14 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 10 Jun 2026 – 12 Jun 2026, chart shows 22%–34%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 30.0% |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 24.86K |
| SSD8787 | Yes | 13.75K |
| solwizzo-onX | Yes | 6.24K |
| Markximus | Yes | 2.42K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's closing share price on its first day of trading. If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". The closing share price will be stated in the currency in which SpaceX's shares are denominated on the primary exchange. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-closing-share-price-20260607171825124
| mixedmut | Yes | 2.3K |
| Royal-Bias-Pelican | Yes | 1.68K |
| Aged-Other | Yes | 1.51K |
| sky-dupree | Yes | 1.4K |
| Revolving-Many-Cursor | Yes | 1K |
| labistiiia | Yes | 1K |
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