Analytics
Resolved No on 21 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.5% on 20 May 2026. $14.27K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 22, 6:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 20 May 2026 – 21 May 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 May 2026 | 0.5% |
| 21 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Solid-Sweat | Yes | 10K |
| bugseeker | Yes | 567.92 |
| SmolDog | Yes | 567 |
| Shameful-Reverse | Yes | 400 |
| bathak | Yes | 153.4 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 100 |
| Amused-Gnat | Yes | 95 |
| Mature-Competition | Yes | 64 |
| Lawful-Handgun | Yes | 49 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UfQHy4mVcBo
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-12
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