Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 51% on 5 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 26 daily closes on record from 5 Mar 2026 to 22 Apr 2026 (23 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 61.5% on 11 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 22 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 41.5% on 14 Mar 2026. $61.22K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 26 points, 5 Mar 2026 – 22 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Mar 2026 | 51.0% |
| 22 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 499.98 |
| Devoted-Route | Yes | 360.75 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 200 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on the outcome of the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UfQHy4mVcBo
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-starship-flight-test-12
| Damaged-Marker | Yes | 35.71 |
| moebius64 | Yes | 25.64 |
| xyzgncsk | Yes | 20.05 |
| rocket661 | Yes | 8.5 |
| TooYoungToWin | Yes | 5.26 |
| Grandiose-Layer | Yes | 5 |
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