Analytics
Resolved No on 21 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.7%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 8 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 8 Nov 2025 to 21 Nov 2025, the highest close was 7.5% on 8 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.4% on 19 Nov 2025. $340K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 22, 4:35 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 8 Nov 2025 – 21 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | 7.5% |
| 21 Nov 2025 | 1.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.35K |
| borntoloosebaby | Yes | 781.58 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
| openint | Yes | 540.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chinese taikonauts Chen Dong, Chen Zhongrui, and Wang Jie depart the Tiangong space station by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET aboard a vehicle owned in part or whole, or otherwise designed/propelled by SpaceX. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The taikonauts will be considered to have departed if they are if they are on a spacecraft which has undocked from the Taigong space station and begun its return journey to Earth. The resolution source will be official announcements from China and SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-spacex-rescue-the-stranded-chinese-astronauts
New to prediction markets?
| eren | Yes | 400 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 309 |
| lVSvEMGksh | Yes | 225 |
| pgffrx | Yes | 216.95 |
| Junapol | Yes | 200 |
| crypto-raven | Yes | 200 |
