Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 21 May 2026 and the low 0.1% on 8 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 1.7% on 22 May 2026. $7.25K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 13, 8:29 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 23 points · 21 May 2026 – 12 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.85K |
| Hasty-Dome | Yes | 903.86 |
| 0xtokenz | Yes | 627.22 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 326.16 |
| puposalbani | Yes | 282.75 |
| Prof.Moriarty | Yes | 209.29 |
| pinecats4labs | Yes | 177.03 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 149.99 |
| marceloooo | Yes | 110 |
| Adored-Casement-Basin | Yes | 85.25 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-date-182
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