Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 21 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 21 May 2026 to 3 Jun 2026, the highest close was 48.5% on 21 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 48 points down, to 0.4% on 22 May 2026. $774.52 traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 3, 6:37 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 21 May 2026 – 3 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 May 2026 | 48.5% |
| 3 Jun 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.85K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 615 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Indigo Lynx C16C | Yes | 115.96 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve based on the date, in Eastern Time, that SpaceX launches its Initial Public Offering (IPO). For the purposes of this market, an IPO refers to the first public sale of shares by the listed company on a recognized stock exchange. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official listing page of the relevant exchange, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-date-182
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| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 25.73 |
| wwder | Yes | 10 |
| Anon321321321 | Yes | 10 |
| Sleepy-Cactus | Yes | 6 |
