
Resolved Yes on 12 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.9%. Yes opened at 82.5% on 18 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 53 daily closes on record from 18 Apr 2026 to 12 Jun 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.9% on 11 Jun 2026 and the lowest 82.5% on 18 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 95.5% on 30 Apr 2026. $317.38K traded over the market's life.
84 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 13, 4:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 18 Apr 2026 – 12 Jun 2026, chart shows 75%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | 82.5% |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 99.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| rated | No | 40K |
| Protrad | No | 13.2K |
| Jessica237 | No | 7.43K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-by
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