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Paper trading
Resolved No on 1 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 26 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 20.5% on 26 Mar 2026 and the low 0.1% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 6.6% on 27 Mar 2026. $627.52K traded over the market's life.
132 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 1, 9:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 26 Mar 2026 – 1 May 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2026 | 20.5% |
| 1 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bgf56 | Yes | 87.94K |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 61.07K |
| Mushica | Yes | 24.21K |
| Rich0704 | Yes | 8.72K |
| Davidr-483 | Yes | 7.14K |
| ow0 | Yes | 6.6K |
| MichaelLeeSOL | Yes | 4.32K |
| graydon. | Yes | 4.27K |
| Scared-Enigma | Yes | 3.33K |
| Terrible-Cabana | Yes | 2.13K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/spacex-ipo-by
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