Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Jan 2026.
$19.23K traded over the market's life.
28 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 19, 12:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 17 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | 2.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.14K |
| Impeccable-Heron | Yes | 1K |
| alibabamaduro | Yes | 1K |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 299 |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 241.39 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 198 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 124.1 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 113 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| yzhaobk | Yes | 97.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-january
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
