Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 21.5% on 31 Dec 2024. Before it settled, the high was 21.5% on 31 Dec 2024 and the low 0.1% on 19 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 7.5% on 1 Jan 2025. $12.84K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 232 points · 31 Dec 2024 – 19 Aug 2025 · axis zoomed to 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2024 | 21.5% |
| 19 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.26K |
| gandalf | Yes | 7.83K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 1.98K |
This is a market on predicting the total number of SpaceX launches scheduled for the year 2025.
Resolution source: https://www.faa.gov/data_research/commercial_space_data
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-2025
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| rousseauuu | Yes | 1.06K |
| paspor | Yes | 592.97 |
| rated | Yes | 508 |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 504.05 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 224.15 |
| velectricj | Yes | 188.27 |
| Ziigmund | Yes | 163 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
