Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 39.5% on 5 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 5 Jun 2026 to 23 Jun 2026, the highest close was 39.5% on 5 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.9% on 23 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 31 points down, to 9% on 6 Jun 2026. $11.37K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 24, 7:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 5 Jun 2026 – 23 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Jun 2026 | 39.5% |
| 23 Jun 2026 | 1.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| frozenriver | Yes | 1.06K |
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 675 |
| cripes3 | Yes | 600 |
| Soft-Proof | Yes | 271.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between June 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-june-2026
New to prediction markets?
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