Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 3.7% on 17 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 3.7% on 17 Jan 2026 and the low 0.5% on 19 Jan 2026. $12.15K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 17 Jan 2026 – 19 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | 3.7% |
| 19 Jan 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.14K |
| Evador | Yes | 426.16 |
| Roasted-Grenade | Yes | 289.6 |
| flow-trader-at-optiver | Yes | 219.05 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 219 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 113 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| rated | Yes | 81.18 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 75 |
| RDTrix | Yes | 71.79 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-launches-in-january
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